Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.002411 0.002560 0.002719 0.002903 0.003110 0.003339 0.003612
2025-01-12 0.002122 0.002316 0.002534 0.002801 0.003122 0.003505 0.004005
2025-01-19 0.001967 0.002191 0.002453 0.002788 0.003216 0.003760 0.004534
2025-01-26 0.001776 0.002001 0.002270 0.002624 0.003090 0.003710 0.004643
2025-02-02 0.001704 0.001945 0.002241 0.002642 0.003194 0.003968 0.005228
2025-02-09 0.001666 0.001926 0.002253 0.002712 0.003371 0.004352 0.006102
2025-02-16 0.001611 0.001880 0.002225 0.002721 0.003460 0.004615 0.006849
2025-02-23 0.001590 0.001875 0.002250 0.002804 0.003665 0.005100 0.008198
2025-03-02 0.001530 0.001817 0.002196 0.002768 0.003679 0.005257 0.008929
2025-03-09 0.001468 0.001750 0.002128 0.002704 0.003638 0.005307 0.009427
2025-03-16 0.001447 0.001738 0.002135 0.002753 0.003792 0.005753 0.011217
2025-03-23 0.001421 0.001718 0.002128 0.002779 0.003906 0.006147 0.013196
2025-03-30 0.001371 0.001665 0.002074 0.002733 0.003897 0.006301 0.014628
2025-04-06 0.001315 0.001601 0.002001 0.002652 0.003817 0.006284 0.015430
2025-04-13 0.001282 0.001569 0.001975 0.002644 0.003874 0.006605 0.018277
2025-04-20 0.001214 0.001485 0.001867 0.002495 0.003645 0.006179 0.016740
2025-04-27 0.001194 0.001468 0.001859 0.002512 0.003742 0.006600 0.020829
2025-05-04 0.001187 0.001469 0.001878 0.002576 0.003940 0.007366 0.030588
2025-05-11 0.001167 0.001451 0.001866 0.002585 0.004026 0.007849 0.042075
2025-05-18 0.001164 0.001456 0.001890 0.002661 0.004268 0.008950 0.093444
2025-05-25 0.001137 0.001426 0.001857 0.002628 0.004262 0.009193 0.146039
2025-06-01 0.001105 0.001388 0.001810 0.002569 0.004188 0.009161 0.192516
2025-06-08 0.001097 0.001385 0.001820 0.002614 0.004367 0.010228 NaN